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Most believe German coalition won’t last until next election

Most believe German coalition won’t last until next election


More than half of people in Germany do not expect the current coalition between the mainstream centre-left and centre-right parties to hold together until the 2029 elections, according to a survey published on Sunday.

The survey, conducted by the INSA Institute for the Sunday tabloid Bild am Sonntag, found 58% of those polled believe that Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s coalition government will not last. Some 24% do believe the coalition will survive, while a further 18% did not know or did not answer.

Around three-quarters of the more than 1,000 respondents said they were dissatisfied with the government’s work, while 16% said they were satisfied.

A total of 1,004 respondents across Germany took part in the survey between April 29-30.

AfD at 28%

A second survey by INSA put support for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) four points ahead of Merz’s centre-right bloc.

Support for the AfD was 28%, while Merz’s conservative bloc – made up of his Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Bavaria-only Christian Social Union (CSU) – sits at 24%.

The SPD was unchanged from the previous week’s poll on 14%, with the opposition Greens rising by one point to 13% and The Left stable on 11%.

The polling firm surveyed 1,207 voters between April 27-30.

The federal government, comprising the CDU, CSU and SPD, took office just under a year ago. Friedrich Merz was sworn in as chancellor on May 6 last year.



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